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US Weekly Market Report

The US Weekly Market Report is published weekly and is available online with your member login.


Don Ohsman, Publisher
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The Daily Market Report is published every Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday and is available online for our members.

Don Ohsman, Publisher
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Don Ohsman, Publisher
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US Weekly Market Report Archive - 7/30/2010



Don Ohsman, Publisher

Due to a brief summer holiday, our next regular US week in review report will be published again on Friday, August 7th

Meanwhile, the following is our “holiday edition”, or synopsis for this week.

THE WEEK AT A GLANCE:


Most producers did not sell all of they made

Majority of sales booked at levels steady to last week

Export sales of raw and wet blue up 73%

Raw and wet blue outstanding below last weeks 5 year low

Forecast last Friday: Steers steady, cows toppy

Forecast for next week: Cloudy with a chance of rain!

FOR WEEK ENDING 7/22/2010


Click on chart to view underlying data.

Raw hides

Net sales of 322,700 pieces were reported for delivery in 2010, up 73 percent from the previous week, but down 15 percent from the prior 4-week average.

Whole cattle hide sales of 286,200 pieces were mainly for South Korea (93,500 pieces), China (86,400 pieces), Taiwan (51,700 pieces), Thailand (16,900 pieces), Mexico (9,900 pieces), and Hong Kong (9,600 pieces).

Exports of 477,700 pieces were up 13 percent from the previous week and 4 percent from the prior 4-week average. Whole cattle hides export of 473,600 pieces were primarily to China (234,800 pieces), South Korea (115,400 pieces), Taiwan (44,800 pieces), Mexico (17,400 pieces), and Thailand (14,800 pieces).

Wet blue

Net sales of 156,200 wet blues for delivery in 2010 were up 95 percent from the previous week and 23 percent from the prior 4-week average.

The primary buyers were China (42,400 unsplit), Mexico (33,400 grain splits and 200 unsplit), Italy (33,200 unspit), the Dominican Republic (23,300 unsplit), and Vietnam (14,800 unsplit). Decreases were reported for Thailand (6,900 unsplit).

Exports of 157,200 hides were primarily for China (54,600 unsplit), Italy (27,500 unsplit), Vietnam (24,800 unsplit), Thailand (14,000 unsplit), and Mexico (8,800 grain splits and 2,200 unsplit).

Wet blue splits

Net sales of splits totaling 725,100 pounds were reported for Italy (675,000 pounds), Hong Kong (45,000 pounds), and South Korea (5,100 pounds). Exports were 143,700 lbs.

Combined raw and wet blue outstanding new 5 year low


Click on chart to view underlying data.

The combined total of raw and wet blue hides still to be shipped totaled 3,673,800. This is down from 3,842,300 last week and 4,114,400 two weeks ago.

FEDERALLY INSPECTED SLAUGHTER


Click on chart to view underlying data.

Federally inspected slaughter for the week ending Saturday July 31 is estimated to be 654,000 head. Last week’s total was 666,000 and for the same period last year 639,000. Year-to-date slaughter is currently 1.3%, below a year ago at this time.


PRICE GUIDE
SELECTION WEIGHT PER PC FOB LAST WEEK LAST YEAR
Heavy Texas Steers 60-62 $73.00-74.00 $72.00-73.00 $40.00-42.00
Branded Steers 60-62 $72.00-73.00 $71.00-72.00 $37.00-38.00
Colorado Steers 60-62 $69.00-70.00 $68.00-69.00 $34.00-36.00
Butt Branded Steers 60-62 $73.00-74.00 $72.00-73.00 $38.00-40.00
Heavy Native Steers 60-62 $74.00-75.00 $73.00-74.00 $40.00-43.00
Heavy Native Heifers 48-50 $64.00-65.00 $64.00-65.00 $31.00-33.00
Branded Heifers 48-50 $61.00-62.00 $61.00-62.00 $29.00-32.00
Heavy Native Cows 50-52 $47.00-48.00 $47.00-48.00 $24.00-26.00
Branded Cows 48-50 $38.00-40.00 $38.00-40.00 $18.00-20.00
Spready Dairy Cows 48-50 $53.00-55.00 $53.00-55.00 $27.00-29.00
Over-weight Kip 20-35 $63.00-65.00 $63.00-65.00 $49.00-51.00
Native Bulls 90-100 $53.00-55.00 $53.00-55.00 $25.50-26.50



US Daily Market Report Archive - 8/25/2010


HEAVY TEXAS STEERS

  1. A sale was reported at $72.00 on 60/64 lb. averages
  1. $76.00 c&f net was reputed to have been paid on seasonal average but could not be confirmed.
  1. 80 lb. min averages sold at $80.00

 

 

BRANDED STEERS

  1. A sale at $71.00 was posted on seasonal averages
  1. A sale was reported at $75.00 c&f net but could not be confirmed.

 

 

HEAVY NATIVE STEERS

  1. $72.50 was paid on seasonal averages

 

 

HEIFERS

  1. “Texas” type brands sold at $64.00 c&f net.

 

 

PLUMP COWS

  1. Conventional native cows were bid at $48.00 c&f and countered

 

 

HOLSTEINS

  1. Northern type cows sold at $55.00, steady with last week.

 

 

BULLS

  1. Natives were bid at $60.00 c&f and countered.
  1. Brands were reported at $50.00

 

 

INDUSTRY NEWS

  1. Rumors were confirmed today that local government officials in Jinjiang have shut off the power to 83 tanners. The majority of these tanners were said to use imported raw materials that included hides as well as wet blue and splits. In order for these tanners to resume operations they will have to be certified with the required pollution abatement equipment.
  1. Daemyung Leather Co, at one time one of the major players in the Korean tanning industry announced that their business will close this week. The Company was had a major tanning operation in China as well.
  1. Brown Shoe Co. Inc. announced its quarterly net income after paying preferred dividends totaled $5.3 million in the three months ended July 31. That compares with a loss of $4.2 million, a year earlier.

    But while the company said it is encouraged by early results of its back-to-school season, it expects sales for the year to grow in the low double-digit range. Previously it had said sales could range from high single-digit growth to low double-digits

    Net sales in the Famous Footwear division rose nearly 11 % to $357.3 million, including a jump of 11.8% in revenue at stores open at least a year.

    The wholesale division's net revenue rose 265 to $178.6 million, with increases across all channels. Net revenue in the specialty retail division rose about 8 percent to $59.8 million.

    The company plans to open between 30 and 35 Famous Footwear stores this year, while closing 50.
  1. Word reached us today that Max Frank, the long retired and well respected head of the former Kaufman Trading firm in New York passed away in California. He was 96

 

 

NOTE:

Don Ohsman, of Hidenet Publications will be attending the Shanghai Leather Fair beginning on September 1st.

You can reach Don by calling his U.S. phone number at 310 980 2336.

He can also be reached by email during the fair. Just send a message to don@hidenet.com and he will get the message on his blackberry and immediately respond. He is looking forward to meeting the many Hidenet subscribers who will be in Shanghai.

If you won’t be attending, be sure to check the Hidenet.com website during the Fair for the latest news

 

 

MARKET OBSERVATIONS

Today’s trend: Softer

  1. The pendulum between a sellers and a buyer market continues to shift towards tanners.
  1. Steer sales heard today tended to be at the low end of the current trading range. This does not portend well for the rest of the week from a producer point of view
  1. Small bits of information trickling back from visitors meeting with Asian tanners indicate resistance to offering prices even at current lows.

 

 

FEDERALLY INSPECTED SLAUGHTER

 

Today

130,000

Last week

127,000

Last year

126,000

 

Week to date

386,000

Last week

379,000

Last year

382,000

 

Tuesday’s slaughter included 103,000 steer/heifers and 25,000 cows and bulls


PRICE GUIDE
SELECTION WEIGHT PER PC FOB
Heavy Texas Steers 60-62 $71.50-72.00
Branded Steers 60-62 $70.50-71.00
Colorado Steers 60-62 $66.00-67.00
Butt Branded Steers 60-62 $71.00-72.00 n
Heavy Native Steers 60-62 $71.50-72.50
Heavy Native Heifers 48-50 $62.00-63.00
Branded Heifers 48-50 $59.00-61.00
Heavy Native Cows 50-52 $48.00-51.00
Branded Cows 48-50 $38.00-39.00
Spready Dairy Cows 48-50 $54.00-55.00
Over-weight Kip 20-35 $65.00-67.00
Native Bulls 90-100 $54.00-56.00



This Week in Leather Archive - 8/4/2010



Don Ohsman, Publisher

“the week at a glance”

Raw hide prices still squeezing tanners regardless of gains

Container shortages remain a problem

US Retail sales lower

Footwear quarterly reports mostly strong

Rising Chinese labor and higher freight costs driving production elsewhere

Las Vegas market week off to a good start

Home sales down

Car sales slow in China. US gain share

Raw material prices generally steady


Details as follows:

GENERAL NEWS

Tanners struggling to get leather prices higher

Tanners in China reported this month that they are able to pass on a little of their increased raw material costs, especially to their domestic customers. However, whatever gains can be obtained are comparatively minimal. One source said that one way they are coping is to find improvements in productivity towards lowering operating costs.

Tanners are raising prices, and are also focusing on productivity improvements and costs, as we can't simple raise pricing in today's marketplace to cover the higher hide cost gap.

Container shortages still an issue

Difficulty in obtaining vessel space for export/importers is not limited to the hide, footwear, or upholstery business. Sources contacted this week note that shortages of ocean containers will linger on into the second half of 2011.

Chinese manufacturers, which control the lion’s share of the box market, will take until then to ramp their production back up to its prerecession rate.  One exporter said that they all but shut down in 2009, when the recession scuttled ocean shipping. Plus cargo lines that stretched delivery times between the U.S Europe and Asia to save fuel and cash still face thin profit margins and tough emissions rules.

Kiplinger reported that the hardest hit are exporters based 100 miles or more inland from ports.  Ocean carriers aren’t keen to restore costly services that routinely used railroads to ship empty containers cross-country. Companies may need to enlist brokers to find boxes or to truck products to ports where containers are more readily available.

COTANCE meeting in Bologna

Perspectives for Leather Markets - the Cotance 2010 round table will take place in Bologna on October 11, prior to the Lineapelle exhibition. The event gathers the tanning sector’s key industrial players, their suppliers and customers, academia, governmental and political authorities and high-level civil servants.

Participants are selected on their perceived capacity to influence the sector’s governance, a kind of summit for the European leather business community. The round table focuses on the market perspectives for leather and leather products in Europe and at international level as the sector re-emerges from the recession that hit the global economy towards the end of 2008.

Attendance is by invitation only. However a limited number of seats will be offered upon registration to Cotance before the event. An admission fee of 100 euros will be requested. If you are interested in taking part in the round table, please download the pre-registration form, on the Cotance website - www.euroleather.com. You will receive confirmation of your registration by early September.

Taiwanese footwear makers invest in Indonesia

China Leather.org announced recently that Indonesia’s footwear industry has won an investment of US$550m from six Taiwanese and South Korean footwear manufacturers who are relocating their plants from China and Vietnam, according to the Indonesian Shoes Association (Aprisindo).

The relocation, mainly to East Java, has been prompted by rising labor costs and raw material issues in China and Vietnam, and is expected to finish within this current year.

In all, six manufacturers are outsourcing a significant amount of shoes and products for world famous brands, including Nike, Adidas, Reebok and Geox.

Among these manufacturers, four Taiwanese firms who produce shoes for Nike and Reebok are completing their relocation with a total investment capital of $400m. In the meantime, two South Korean producers based in Vietnam, who outsource for Adidas and Geox, will invest $150m in Indonesia.

‘Geox was targeted to produce up to 100,000 pairs of shoes per month, while Adidas would produce up to 850,000 pairs of shoes until the end of 2010’, Eddy Widjanarko, chairman of Aprisindo said. ‘In January 2011, Adidas is targeted to produce 1.2m pairs of shoes per month’, he added.

Aprisindo said further footwear manufacturers are expected to relocate to Indonesia over the next few years, but that current electricity tariff hiking will hamper further investment.

Five Fuzhou tanneries to close

In an announcement issued by Economic and Trade Commission in Fujian province, five tanneries in Fuzhou city China with annual production below 20,000 pieces of standard cattle equivalent are included in the list of enterprises to face closure.

The five tanneries are Fuzhou Chaoqi Tannery, Changle Shengda Leather Products Co, Liuchangping Tannery, Minguan Leather Co, and Minhou Xiangqian Tannery. The companies listed in the announcement will be closed by the end of September of this year. Their production facilities will be dismantled at the end of the year. The announcement is part China's elimination of outdated production capacity, in other words their production and effluent treatment systems fall below environmental standards, especially as each tannery has a low production volume (under 30,000 pieces per annum).

New leather center in Liaoning Province

Fuxin Leather Production Base is a newly established leather processing centre located in Liaoning province, Northern China. The local authority plan to build a modern leather complex for northern China.

Fuxin Mayor, Pan Liguo, is behind the development of an important leather processing base, and paid a visit to the area on July 22.

During his visit Mayor Pan visited the central effluent treatment centre, Richina in Fuxin, and Henxin Leather And Fur Co. The Mayor carried out the groundbreaking ceremony for Henxin Fur and urged the production base to improve and complete construction of the facilities and services system in order to attract other businesses.

When talking about the issues of environmental protection hestressed the balanced and coordinated development of Fuxin city with the development of a tanning cluster.

Indian leather exports still down

Recovery in leather exports has been cut short as consignments dropped year-on-year by 3 per cent to Rs 1,266 crore in June, with a weak euro playing spoilsport.

India's leather exports, employing 2.5 million people, was Rs 1,307 crore in June last fiscal.

"Though things are improving, currency fluctuation is a serious issue for the industry," Council for Leather Exports Chairman Habib Hussain told PTI.Europe accounts for 60 per cent of India's leather exports which aggregated to Rs 16,135 crore last fiscal.

A weak euro results in reduced margins for the exporters since realizations from the overseas currency into rupee drops.

Since January, 2010 value of euro against rupee has declined by over 9 per cent. Crisis in some of the European economies like Greece, Spain and Portugal has hit the euro.

Impacted by global slowdown, leather exports had dropped in 2009-10. However, on a low base of last fiscal, shipments had improved in the first two months this year.

For the April-May period, the leather exports had improved by 29 per cent in dollar terms, as per the data of the council.

However, the recovery proved short-lived and exports dropped again in June.

"Visitors want to come here, but prices are not competitive," Hussain said.

For June, the segments which showed downward growth includes saddlery and harness and footwear components. However, certain categories also showed growth like finished leather and leather goods.

Acespiel to take over CEC-FECUR

The Spanish Federation of Tanners,  known as Acexpiel, has announced that it will take on the responsibilities of the country’s Tanners’ Confederation.

This means that Acexpiel will now be the representative body of the tanning industry in Spain. Its members agreed the move at a meeting in Barcelona at the end of July.

Acexpiel will continue to carry out its previous function of promoting Spanish leather in export markets, etc. The industries leaders hope that this will help the nations tanning.

Regional tanning industry groups will still be able to continue their own activities, but Acexpiel has made it clear that tanneries across Spain will work with the national body directly from now on, rather than connect to the national organization through their regional associations.

While CEC-FECUR worked as a confederation of the different regional associations, Acexpiel will work more directly with individual tanners. The organization said at the time of the announcement that the current size of the leather industry in Spain and the reduced resources of many of the regional bodies were among the main drivers of the new set-up.

Acexpiel’s current president, Jaume Alvira, will continue in the role until the organization meets again in a few months to hold new elections.

The latest figures from CEC-FECUR show that there are currently 97 tanneries in operation in Spain, 57 of them in Catalonia, 27 in Valencia, nine in Murcia, three in Aragon and one in the Basque Country.

ECONOMIC NEWS

U.S. July retail figures discouraging

Master Card Advisors’Spending Pulse reported that Americans remained reluctant to spend at stores in July, especially on pricier items like jewelry, though they let go of some money for travel, according to data released today.

Revenue from high-end jewelry, which had held steady in June, plummeted in July from a year earlier, when the figures already were dismal.

Furniture also suffered as the boost from homebuyer tax credits wore off. Shoppers even pulled back on shoes and children's clothing, while luxury spending — excluding baubles — was virtually unchanged.

The figures, which include transactions in all forms including cash, signal that spending remains choppy as shoppers grapple with an almost 10 percent unemployment rate and tight credit.

Online revenue offered one bright spot, gaining for the 12th straight month. But travel spending — including airlines, trains, rental cars and hotels — also rose from July 2009, when it fell almost 2 percent.

The second-straight month with weak luxury sales contrasts with earlier in the year when the wealthy spent a bit more freely. The Standard & Poor's 500 stock index has tumbled 9.5 percent since its high-water mark in late April, and home values fell 3.2 percent in the first quarter, according to the Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller 20-city home-price index.

The latest data from SpendingPulse follows government reports, released Tuesday, that also show consumers being picky about how they spend their money. The Commerce Department said personal spending was unchanged in June, the third straight lackluster month. And the personal savings rate rose to 6.4 percent of after-tax incomes in June.

"The tide (in spending) doesn't seem to be rising overall," said Michael McNamara, vice president of research and analysis for SpendingPulse. "There hasn't been a consistent improvement that has been sustainable."

Instead, shoppers seem to be shifting their spending more than usual each month, he said, including extra movement in July away from discretionary items.

"Recoveries tend to not happen in straight lines," he said. "We are in a trough, but the question is, how long will the trough last?"

July marks the end of most retailers' fiscal second quarter. But it's the least important month in the quarter because stores use it to clear out summer leftovers and bring in fresh fall merchandise.

This year, stores discounted more than planned in July on summer items to pull in recession-scarred shoppers, whose confidence in the economy is falling.

Here are SpendingPulse's figures comparing revenue for July 4 through July 31 with the same period a year earlier, by product category.

The report said that overall clothing sales slipped 1.1 percent from a year ago, when they dropped 5.2 percent. Children's clothing fell 3.7 percent, the first decline in 10 months. Revenue in women's clothing fell 1.9 percent, while men's clothing sales dropped 16.3 percent.

Footwear was down 2.9 percent from a year ago when revenue fell 7.4 percent.

Furniture: fell 8.2 percent from a year ago, when business fell 10.5 percent. July's decline marked three straight months of decreases after a surge early in the year as the category benefited from housing tax credits.

Big spenders holding back

A Wall Street Journal article reported this week that  wealthy Americans aren't spending so freely anymore. And the rest of us are feeling the squeeze.

The question is whether the rich will cut back so much as to tip the economy back into recession - or if they will spend at least enough to sustain the recovery.

The answer may not be clear for months. But their cutbacks help explain why the rebound could be stalling.

The economy grew at just a 2.4 percent rate in the April-June quarter, the government said Friday, much slower than the 3.7 percent rate for the first quarter.

Economists say overall consumer spending has slowed mainly because the richest 5 percent of Americans - those earning at least $207,000 - are buying less. They account for about 14 percent of total spending.

These shoppers have retrenched as their investment values have sunk and home values have languished.

In addition, the most sweeping in a generation are due to expire in January, and lawmakers are divided over whether the government can afford to make any of them permanent as the federal budget deficit continues to balloon.

President Barack Obama wants to allow the top rates to increase next year for individuals making more than $200,000 and couples making more than $250,000. The wealthy may be keeping some money on the sidelines due to uncertainty over whether or not they will soon face higher taxes.

Home values fell 3.2 percent in the first quarter, according to the Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller 20-city home-price index.

Think of the wealthy as the main engine of the economy: When they buy more, the economy hums. When they cut back, it sputters. The rest of us mainly go along for the ride.

Earlier this year, gains in stock portfolios had boosted household wealth. And the rich responded by spending freely. That raised hopes the recovery would strengthen.

No longer. The dizzying plunge on Wall Street in May and June and lingering stock-market turbulence have shrunk Americans' wealth. The Dow fell 10 percent for the April-June quarter. The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index dropped 11.9 percent. And the rich are once again more cautious about spending, economists say.

The affluent went back to tightening their belts in June after months of vigorous showing.

At the same time, government reports show shoppers as a whole cut back on their spending in both May and June.

Federal Reserve says U.S. economy slows

The U.S. economy lost momentum in the second quarter of the year. Real gross domestic product -- the inflation-adjusted, seasonally adjusted value of all goods and services produced in the United States -- rose at a 2.4% annualized rate in the second quarter, well below the average 4.4% increase over the last six months.

The rate of expansion in the first quarter was revised up to a 3.7% rise compared with the prior estimate of a 2.7% increase. Much of the deceleration in the second quarter was due to the trade sector. The 2.4% increase in GDP was close to the 2.5% expansion expected by economists surveyed by MarketWatch. (Fixes time period in the description of the deceleration.)

More evidence of an economic slowdown

MarketWatch reported this week that some Federal Reserve district banks reported stalled or slower growth in mid-July, according to a report on current economic conditions, commonly known as the Beige Book, released by the central bank on Wednesday. The report is consistent with the notion that the economy lost some momentum at the end of the second quarter.

The report found the economy continued to expand, on balance. The Cleveland and Kansas City Fed banks reported stalled conditions. The Atlanta and Chicago Fed banks reported that the pace of growth had slowed recently. Among those regional banks reporting improvements, several noted the increases were modest, the report said. The tone of the latest Beige Book is decidedly less optimistic than that of the prior Beige Book report released in early June. That report found that conditions had improved in all 12 Fed districts consistent with an expanding recovery.

FOOTWEAR

Adidas raised its full-year earnings forecast after strong sales around the World Cup as well as a resurgence at Reebok helped drive up second-quarter revenues and profit. Group sales in North America grew 8% on a currency-neutral basis, driven by a 7% sales increase for adidas and a 30% sales increase for Reebok in the region during the second quarter.between €2.05 and €2.30. Last year's figure was €1.22.

The company, based in Herzogenaurach, Germany, confirmed previously released second-quarter figures: an increase in net earnings to €126 million ($166 million) from €9 million a year earlier, and an 18.7 % increase in revenues to €2.92 billion from €2.46 billion.

"We had an outstanding first half year driven by the FIFA World Cup 2010 and the resurgence of the Reebok brand in North America," CEO Herbert Hainer said. "Sales momentum at both Adidas and Reebok accelerated in the second quarter."

During the second quarter of 2010, Group revenues increased 11% on a currency-neutral basis. Currency-neutral revenues in Western Europe increased 13% supported by strong growth in the football category. Currency-neutral sales in European Emerging Markets increased 25% driven by double-digit growth in both the Wholesale and Retail segments.

Group sales in North America grew 8% on a currency-neutral basis, driven by a 7% sales increase for adidas and a 30% sales increase for Reebok in the region during the second quarter. Currency-neutral sales in Greater China declined 18% due to the continued efforts to reduce inventories in the market. Currency-neutral sales in Other Asian Markets and in Latin America were up 11% and 27% on a currency-neutral basis, respectively. Currency translation effects had a positive impact on segmental sales in euro terms.

Group revenues grew 19% to €2.917 billion in the second quarter of 2010 from €2.457 billion in 2009.

The Group's gross margin increased 4.0 percentage points to 48.9% (2009: 45.0%) in the second quarter mainly due to lower input costs, less clearance sales and a larger share of higher-margin Retail sales as well as positive currency effects, particularly related to the Russian rouble.

Group gross profit increased 29% to €1.424billion (2009: €1.105 billion). Other operating expenses as a percentage of sales were stable compared to the prior year at 43.9%. Higher marketing expenses were offset by a decline in operating overhead expenditures as a percentage of sales. As a result of the higher gross margin, the Group's operating margin increased 3.8 percentage points to 6.7% in the second quarter of 2010 versus 2.9% in 2009.

Operating profit increased 172% to €195 million in the second quarter of 2010 compared to €2 million in 2009. In the second quarter of 2010, the Group's net income attributable to shareholders amounted to €126 million (2009: €9 million

"We had an outstanding first half year driven by the FIFA World Cup 2010 and the resurgence of the Reebok brand in North America," commented Herbert Hainer, adidas Group CEO. "Sales momentum at both adidas and Reebok accelerated in the second quarter with currency-neutral sales increasing 13% and 16% respectively."

In the first half of 2010, Group revenues increased 7% on a currency-neutral basis driven by growth in Wholesale, Retail and Other Businesses. Currency translation effects had a positive impact on sales in euro terms. Group revenues grew 11% to €5.590 billion in the first half of 2010 from €5.034 billion in 2009.

First half Group sales increase driven by the Wholesale and Retail segments

The Adidas Group's sales increase in the first half of 2010 was driven by double-digit growth in the Retail segment as well as higher sales in the Wholesale segment and in Other Businesses. Currency-neutral Wholesale revenues increased 6% during the period driven by higher Adidas and Reebok sales. Currency-neutral Retail sales increased 16% versus the prior year as a result of double-digit Adidas and Reebok sales growth. Revenues in Other Businesses increased 3% on a currency-neutral basis due to sales growth at TaylorMade-adidas Golf.

In the first half of 2010, currency-neutral adidas Group sales increased in all regions except Greater China. Revenues in Western Europe increased 8% primarily as a result of double-digit sales increases in the UK, Germany and Spain. In European Emerging Markets, Group sales increased 13% on a currency-neutral basis due to growth in most of the region's markets, in particular Russia. Sales for the adidas Group in North America increased 10% on a currency-neutral basis due to strong increases in both the USA and Canada. Sales in Greater China decreased 16% on a currency-neutral basis. Currency-neutral revenues in Other Asian Markets grew 4% due to increases in most markets. In Latin America, sales grew 23% on a currency-neutral basis, with double-digit increases in most of the region's major markets.

The gross margin of the adidas Group increased 3.7 percentage points to 48.8% in the first half of 2010 (2009: 45.1%). This development was mainly due to lower input costs, less clearance sales and a larger share of higher-margin Retail sales. Positive currency effects related to the appreciation of the Russian rouble also had a minor effect on Group gross margin. As a result, gross profit for the adidas Group grew 20% in the first half of 2010 to €2.727 billion versus €2.269 billion in the prior year.

The operating margin of the adidas Group increased 5.6 percentage points to 8.1% in the first half of 2010 (2009: 2.6%). The operating margin increase was primarily due to the higher gross margin as well as lower other operating expenses as a percentage of sales.

As a result, Group operating profit increased 251% to €454 million versus €129 million in 2009. Other operating expenses as a percentage of sales decreased 1.6 percentage points to 42.8% in the first half of 2010 from 44.3% in 2009. In absolute terms, other operating expenses increased 7% to €2.390 billion in the first half of 2010 (2009:€2.232 billion). Thereof, sales and marketing working budget expenditures amounted to €756 million, which represents an increase of 20% versus the prior year level (2009:€630 million). The increase was primarily related to higher expenditures to support adidas presence at the 2010 FIFA World Cup. As a result of the higher Group sales base, however, sales and marketing working budget expenditures as a percentage of sales increased only 1.0 percentage points to 13.5% (2009: 12.5%).in an amount of€35 million. Consequently, the Group's ratio.

Earnings per share now expected to increase to a level between'2.50 and'2.62

In 2010, the adidas Group gross margin is now forecasted to increase to a level approaching 47.5% versus 45.4% in 2009 (previously: increase to a level between 46.5% and 47.5%). Improvements are expected in all segments. Group gross margin will benefit from lower sourcing costs as a result of reduced material costs and lower capacity utilisation among suppliers. This effect is expected to moderate in the second half of the year. Also, a higher share of sales from the Retail segment, which carry a higher gross margin, is forecasted to support Group gross margin development. In addition, lower levels of clearance sales due to reduced inventory levels compared to the prior year as well as the appreciation of the Russian rouble are forecasted to contribute to margin increases. However, these positive effects are expected to be partly offset by ongoing price pressures from a competitive retail environment, in particular in more mature markets, and less favourable hedging terms compared to the prior year.

Herbert Hainer stated: "The record first half performance and the financial strength of our Group provides us with plenty of firepower to accelerate our marketing and investment offensive in the coming quarters. Whether it's toning, lightweight technologies or lifestyle, our brands are right on the consumer pulse. The energy we are creating in the market this year will be an important catalyst in propelling our Group to new heights in the years to come."

DSW sales up

DSW Inc. announced net sales for the second quarter ended July 31, 2010 increased 12.3% to $415.1 million compared with $369.5 million for the quarter ended August 1, 2009. Same store sales increased 12.0% for the comparable period versus a decrease of 2.9% last year...

Net sales for the twenty-six week year-to-date period ended July 31, 2010 increased 14.5% to $864.7 million compared with $755.3 million for the twenty-six week year-to-date period ended August 1, 2009. Same store sales increased 14.1% for the comparable twenty-six week period versus a decrease of 3.8% last year.

The Company now estimates an annual comparable store sales increase of approximately 7% to 9% and annual diluted earnings per share of approximately $1.80 to $1.95 for fiscal 2010. This is updated from the Company's previous estimate of an annual comparable store sales increase of approximately 6% to 8% and annual diluted earnings per share of approximately $1.65 to $1.75 for fiscal 2010. Fiscal 2009 annual diluted earnings per share were $1.23.

Weyco group profits off 57%

The maker of Florsheim, Nunn Bush and Stacy Adams men's shoes reported net income of $1.28 million, , down from $2.18 million. Changes in the exchange rate between U.S. and Australian currency resulted in an $800,000 loss for the quarter, against a gain of $870,000 in the year-ago quarter.

Sales declined by 3%, to $48.7 million from $50.1 million. Sales in the wholesale division declined to $35.3 million from $35.9 million. Sales at Weyco's 35 Florsheim stores and Internet business declined to $5.3 million from $5.4 million.

"The retail environment continues to be challenging," said Tom Florsheim Jr., Weyco chairman and chief executive, in a statement. "After an initial uptick in demand in the first quarter, consumers have once again returned to a more cautious approach to discretionary spending."

The company closed one store during the quarter. On a same-store basis, sales declined by 1%.

Steven Madden does it again

Steven Madden turned in another stellar quarterly performance this morning. Net income for the Long Island, N.Y.-based firm surged 63 percent to $19.8 million, up from $12.1 million, in the year-ago quarter.

Net sales were $158.7 million, up 36 percent from $116.5 million in the previous corresponding quarter, thanks to robust growth in wholesale net sales for the group.

In particular, wholesale footwear net sales increased 40 percent in the second quarter to $104.2 million, from $74.2 million last year, driven by solid gains across all existing wholesale footwear divisions, as well as contributions from the firm’s new men’s brand, Madden, in the first quarter, said Edward Rosenfeld, chairman and CEO of Steven Madden.

The company’s retail division also saw gains of 4 percent for the period ended June 30. Net sales were $29.5 million, versus $28.3 million in the previous corresponding quarter, driven by a comparable store sales increase of 7.4 percent.

Gross margins improved across the board, and operating expenses as a percentage of sales declined to 27 percent, from last year’s 32 percent, due to leverage on increased sales.

“We are confident in our belief that the strength in our core business combined with the growth opportunities from some of our new businesses position us to achieve our long-term goal of doubling earnings-per-share by 2014,” said Rosenfeld in a company statement.

On a conference call with analysts, Rosenfeld added there is an opportunity for gross margins to be up in retail going into the back half, and the firm will look for “significantly more opportunity” to grow the Madden Girl and Big Buddha lines within the firm’s existing doors.

Timberland posts quarterly loss

The Timberland Company reported a second-quarter 2010 net loss of $23.5 million,  after a $13.2 million pre-tax charge for the impairment of certain goodwill and intangible assets. In the year-ago period, the company lost $19.2 million. Revenue increased 5.1% to $189.0 million, reflecting growth across North America, Asia, and Europe.

North America revenue increased 6.6% to $92.0 million compared to the prior year period, driven by growth in apparel and accessories. Europe revenue increased 1.4% to $66.8 million versus 2009 second-quarter levels, and increased 5.7% on a constant dollar basis. Double-digit growth in Italy, Germany, and Scandinavia was partially offset by declines in the UK and France as well as the impact from the strengthening of the U.S. Dollar. Asia revenue increased 9.6% to $30.2 million compared to the prior year period, and increased 4.8% on a constant dollar basis. Favorable foreign exchange rates, along with the continuation of significant growth in Taiwan and China compared to the prior year period, were partially offset by declines in the Asia distributor business.

Global footwear revenue increased 3.7% to $131.6 million from the second quarter of 2009, driven primarily by increased sales of our Timberland PRO footwear in North America and a strong performance by the Europe wholesale business, partially offset by weakness in Europe retail stores. Apparel and accessories revenue increased 10.2% to $52.1 million compared to the prior year period, due to increased sales of SmartWool accessories in North America and Timberland brand apparel in Asia retail stores, partially offset by softness in Europe. Royalty and other revenue decreased 3.8% to $5.3 million compared to the prior year period primarily due to a decline in licensed kids' apparel in North America.

Global wholesale revenue was up 8.3% to $117.5 million compared to the prior year period, due to double-digit growth in North America and Europe, partially offset by declines in Asia. Worldwide consumer direct revenue was flat compared to the prior year period, as improved comparable store sales in Asia and the net addition of 8 new Asia retail stores since the second quarter of 2009 were offset by declines in Europe and North America. Overall, comparable store sales were flat versus the second quarter of 2009. The company had 224 stores, shops, and outlets worldwide at the end of the second quarter of 2010 compared to 220 at the end of the second quarter of 2009.

Operating loss for the second quarter of 2010 was $33.3 million compared to an operating loss of $36.4 million in the prior year period. A significant improvement in gross margin due primarily to favorable pricing and channel mix as well as lower input costs was partially masked by a non-cash impairment charge of $13.2 million primarily related to certain goodwill and intangible assets of the IPATH and howies brands.

Jeffrey B. Swartz, Timberland's president and CEO, stated, "We are pleased to report revenue growth and gross margin improvement in all three regions. These results were achieved by focusing on our core outdoor equities and executing against a consistent strategy to strengthen our brand globally. We are optimistic about the progress that we are making, despite ongoing cost pressures and macroeconomic uncertainty in key markets.

While non-cash charges impacted our profitability for the quarter, our core business saw marked improvement, a clear indication that our product and brand initiatives are continuing to gain traction and that Timberland is positioned for long-term success."

Skechers posts sales jump

Skechers USA Inc. reported second quarter sales increased 68.9% to $504.9 million from $299.0 million a year ago. Earnings climbed to $40.2 million,  rebounding from a loss of $5.9 million, a year ago.

Earnings from operations reached $58.8 million versus a loss from operations of $7.7 million in the second quarter of 2009.

"Our second quarter net sales of over $500 million are a first in our 18-year history. In addition, we achieved record second quarter operating income, net earnings and earnings per diluted share on the heels of a record first quarter," said David Weinberg, chief operating officer and chief financial officer. "The significant revenue growth is attributable to strong operational execution and product development and delivery across our domestic and international wholesale and retail channels, as well as via our e-commerce platform. We believe our momentum is being meaningfully supported and enhanced by our continued marketing efforts globally."

For the six months ended June 30, 2010, net sales were $997.6 million compared to net sales of $642.4 million in the first six months of 2009. Earnings from operations for the first six months were $139.8 million compared to a loss from operations of $1.6 million in the same period of 2009. Net earnings were $96.5 million, compared to net earnings of $2.3 million in the first six months of 2009.

Gross profit for the second quarter of 2010 was $237.6 million or 47.1% of net sales compared to $122.6 million or 41.0% of net sales in the second quarter of last year. Gross profit for the first six months of 2010 was $475.1 million or 47.6% of net sales versus $248.0 million or 38.6% of net sales in the first six months of 2009.

Weinberg also said that "SKECHERS' top-line growth, significantly increased profitability and much improved margins are the result of our consistent efforts to deliver fresh, innovative product supported by relevant marketing around the world".

"Our product is in high demand, inventory is clean, and our balance sheet continues to strengthen. At quarter end, our cash position was over $273 million, even though we accelerated factory payments of $64 million and made a capital contribution of $30 million to our distribution center joint venture. We broke ground during the second quarter on this new, more efficient, 1.8 million-square-foot facility in Rancho Belago, California. With a triple digit increase in backlogs and double digit retail store comps, we believe our momentum will continue."

Puma’s quarterly profit up

Puma's second-quarter profit rose 16.4%. Revenue rose 2.5%, boosted by sales in the Americas, which advanced 26%. Puma's second-quarter profit rose 16.4%. Revenue rose 2.5%, boosted by sales in the Americas, which advanced 26%.

 With a "strong outlook" for the second half, management continues to expect sales growth in the low to mid single-digits for the full year.Jochen Zeitz, CEO, said, "PUMA performed according to plan in the second quarter and we are gearing up for solid growth in the second half of the year based on a strong outlook.

Given an overall improvement of the global economies as well as our decisive measures taken in the past 18 months to adjust our organization and processes to the new market realities, we feel ready to re-engage with our long-term expansion plan as of next year. "Phase IV revisited 2011-2015" shall enable us to significantly tap into PUMA's long-term sales potential of 4 billion Euros and beyond."

PUMA's brand sales in the second quarter - comprised of consolidated and license sales - increased by 1.3% in Euro terms.

Consolidated sales in the second quarter increased by 2.5% in Euro terms to €615.4 million ($787.7mm). Currency neutral, consolidated sales softened by 4.8% on high comparables after closeout sales and a high inventory availability last year. Deliveries in June were impacted by late product deliveries and there were no pre-shipments unlike last year.

On a currency-neutral basis, Footwear sales were down by 9.7% at €321.2 million ($410.9mm) Apparel sales fell by 5.3% to €208.6 million ($2.67mm). Due to first time consolidations, Accessories sales improved significantly by 20.6% to €85.6 million ($109.6mm). On an actual basis, sales were down 2.7% in Footwear, up 2.3% in Apparel and climbed 28.9% in Accessories.

By region, sales in the EMEA slid 7.2% to €267.6 million ($342.5mm) and were down 10.7% on a currency-neutral basis. Sales in the Americas grew 26.1% to €212.6 million ($272.1mm) and gained 15.4% on a currency-neutral basis. Asia Pacific's sales were down 5.7% to €135.2 million ($173.1mm) and declined 17% on a currency-neutral basis.

After the first six months, consolidated sales were down by 3.7% currency-neutral but increased by 0.1% in reported terms to €1,298.5 million ($1.66bn). Sales in EMEA and Asia/Pacific were below last year's levels. Sales in the Americas region, however, increased 12.7% currency-neutral despite of the overall challenging market environment after both sub regions - North America and Latin America - sustained their positive performances from the first quarter. Footwear sales declined currency-neutral by 7.2% to €700.1 million ($896.1mm). Apparel sales decreased by 2.0% to €435.4 million ($557.3mm). Accessories sales, however, advanced by 8.9% to €163.1 million ($208.8mm).

In the second quarter, the gross profit margin improved by 30 basis points from 50.0% last year to 50.3%. This increase mainly results from a lower share of closeout sales that more than offset negative impacts from currency hedging, the regional mix and higher raw material costs. After the first six months, PUMA's gross profit margin reached 51.3% after 51.1% last year. Footwear reported 50.6% compared to 49.7% and Apparel 52.7% versus 52.3%. Accessories declined to 50.7% from 54.9% last year, which is mainly due to the increase in the scope of consolidation with the inclusion of Cobra Golf.

Rocky Brands sales up 7.9%

Rocky Brands, Inc.reportednet sales for the second quarter endedJune 30increased 7.9% to $55.2 million versus net sales of $51.2 million in the second quarter of 2009. The company reported net income of $500,000, versus a net loss of $1.4 million, a year ago.

Excluding one-time charges of$600,000, net of tax, associated with the early repayment of a portion of the company’s senior term loan, second quarter 2010 net income improved to $1.1 million.

Mike Brooks, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, commented, “There were several highlights from the second quarter, most notably the dramatic improvement in our bottom line. The combination of sales growth, a 370 basis point improvement in wholesale gross margin, and meaningful operating expense leverage, allowed us to recover from a loss in the year ago period and deliver profitability that was well above plan. We also made significant progress in improving our capital structure during the second quarter. We paid off the majority of our high interest, senior term loan using proceeds from our successful equity offering and availability under our existing credit facility. As a result, we cut our debt level at the end of the second quarter by more than half and will considerably reduce our interest expense going forward. We are very pleased with the progress we have made towards building a more efficient organization and we look forward to taking advantage of our improved position to better capitalize on the growth opportunities that are ahead.”

Net sales for the second quarter increased 7.9% to $55.2 million compared to $51.2 million a year ago. Wholesale sales for the second quarter increased to $38.5 million compared to $37.9 million for the same period in 2009. Retail sales for the second quarter were $11.0 million compared to $12.3 million for the same period last year.

The modest decline in retail sales was the result of the ongoing transition to more Internet driven transactions and the decision to remove a portion of our Lehigh mobile stores from operations to help lower costs as discussed below. Military segment sales for the second quarter increased to $5.7 million versus $900,000 for the same period in 2009.

Gross margin in the second quarter of 2010 was $19.1 million, or 34.6% of sales compared to $17.7 million, or 34.6% for the same period last year.

Wholesale gross margin was up 370 basis points driven by increased manufacturing efficiencies in the Company’s factories. This was offset by lower retail gross margin as a result of the ongoing transition to more Internet driven transactions and the increase in sales to the Military which carry lower gross margin than the wholesale and retail businesses.

Increased labor cost in China impacting footwear firms

Few companies seem like they would be better insulated from China’s labor shortage than American Sporting Goods.

The owner of the Avia, Ryka, And1 and Nevados footwear brands was one of the first foreign companies allowed to operate a joint venture factory in China and has been operating wholly-owned factories there for 12 years. Four years ago, when it saw wages rising in Shanghai, it built a new factory in the landlocked province of Jiangxi seven hours southeast where there was less competition for labor.

ASG is struggling to fill jobs at its third factory in Jiangxi, which became operational in January according to Jerry Turner, president of the Aliso Viejo, California-based company. As of late July, the 500,000-square-foot plant was operating at half capacity and Turner predicts it could be Christmas before the factory is running full bore.

“It was not a panacea moving inland,” noted Turner in late July. “We are running into the same problems we were running into in Shanghai or other companies were encountering in Southern China. Even when you have workers, you are faced with the turnover problem. Turnover may be 40 to 50%. It’s been that way for the last four years. You’re constantly training workers. They reach a skill level and they leave.”

Of all the challenges facing the U.S. sporting goods industry in 2010, one would hardly think labor shortages in China would top the list but whether it comes to making golf clubs, toning shoes or hiking boots, the topic is dominating earnings calls and boardroom discussions across America.

The deep recession and a steep rebound in orders this spring have made it difficult for Chinese factory owners to fill jobs. This whipsawing of the industry has sporting goods companies – particularly in the apparel and footwear business - headed toward longer lead times and late deliveries – the exact opposite direction of what their dealers want.

As this article went to press, signs emerged that the labor shortage was easing. Economic data released by the Chinese government in mid-July showed delivery times steadied in June while backlogs declined, indicating Chinese manufacturers were finally catching up on their order backlogs.

The country’s Purchasing Managers Index for input prices, while still rising, has dropped dramatically since April, indicating the rate of inflation for everything from labor to materials was slowing. The pace of expansion was particularly pronounced in sporting goods, which was among the fastest contracting industries in terms of what it was buying and producing.

Christopher Svezia, who follows active lifestyle brands for Susquehanna Financial Group, thinks vendors have probably caught up on a rush of replenishment orders that flooded in this spring. It’s not yet clear whether they will be able to keep up during and after the December holidays.

“If this does not improve by back-to-school we will be in trouble,” Svezia said. “Most companies will find ways to air freight deliveries, but there will be some haggling on who pays for that.”

The causes of China’s seemingly sudden labor shortage were planted many years – even decades ago – and most agree the era of cheap unlimited Chinese labor is over. The reasons are many, but essentially boil down to the simple fact that 30 years of massive direct foreign investment and economic reform have dramatically expanded economic opportunity for Chinese workers. Of course all this means that average Chinese are earning higher incomes, yet even this good news is causing headaches for U.S. brands.Many cut-and-sew plants, for example, are now reserving capacity for their own brands.

“I see athletic shoe companies that were supplying us four years ago that have 5,000 stores,” noted Turner. “They’ve all gone their own way with their own brands and are doing extremely well.The government has done a very good job over the last 10 to 15 years improving the standard of living for people there.”

U.S. brands have been bracing for this for years, but their dealers and consumers have been largely insulated until now. That began changing this year when dealers found it was much more difficult to replenish items in season or find closeout merchandise. Supply will likely tighten further before the supply chain finds its new equilibrium.

This spring, labor shortages stalled production at many foundries that make golf clubs, delaying shipments by months, said Eric Yeh, president of Chicago-based Infiniti Golf. At Wolverine World Wide, executives have warned investors that rising costs in China will pinch margins even as overall profits and sales rise. Some analysts recently lowered their 2011 earnings forecast for Nike after the company acknowledged higher costs - including labor and freight - were pressuring its gross profit margins.

A half-dozen sporting goods brands contacted for this article said their Chinese manufacturers are demanding longer lead times so they can have enough time to recruit and train workers. “The era of squeezing in rush orders is over. In the golf business, lead times have gone from 70 days in some cases to as much as a year at factories serving major brands, which tend to plan further in advance. Dealers are responding by building up their safety stock for next spring”, said Yeh.

Lead times at China’s tanneries have gone from 90 to 120 days and are now moving toward 150, according to Josh Fairchilds, vice president of product development and marketing at Oboz, the Bozeman, MT-based supplier of outdoor footwear. Finding a container to ship finished product can extend lead times to as much as six months. This forced Oboz to place orders for fall and winter product in July, a full month before it had firm pre-season orders from its largest retail partners.

“What it means for us is we have to look at new SKUs with a lot more of a critical eye,” Fairchilds said. “It just adds one more layer of risk to everything. I definitely count myself lucky to have a good relationship with my factories.”

American Sporting Goods was encouraging its customers to place their orders for January through March in July to avoid incurring expensive air freight charges, which can add $7 to the cost of a pair of shoes. The company is redesigning shoes to lower their labor content and shooting for fewer, longer production runs. But at the end of the day, Turner said, there is no getting around the higher costs.
 
Brands that can - are raising prices. Wolverine World Wide increased prices on select brands in 2009 and again this year and expects more to come later this year and next.

Large global brands with manufacturing expertise will likely partner with their Chinese manufacturers to try and improve yields but this approach is unlikely to yield relief any time soon. Automation will require a major cultural shift and a better paid workforce.

“In the past, the response to any obstacle or difficulty that came up was to throw more workers at it,” Yeh said of the country’s smaller manufacturers. “They can’t do that anymore. Pretty soon they will have to raise their prices because in order to attract a quality workforce they will have to pay better, improve the working environment or reinvest in automation.”

Infiniti Golf opened a new office in Guangdong this summer to partner more closely with the smaller factories it uses. “For me, to be 1 to 2 percent of a large manufacturer’s business is risky,” said Yeh. “I’d rather be 10 percent of a smaller manufacturer that way, when Infiniti needs in, he will really try to help me out. That being said, there are a lot of smaller size manufacturers that are here today and gone tomorrow.”

Yeh advises small brands to consider hiring a local agent to maintain a permanent presence on the ground. Companies competing on price alone will increasingly shift product to countries with lower labor costs.

Western sporting goods companies began shifting apparel work out of China in 2008, when the government enacted sweeping new labor laws. Mass merchants, often with their Taiwanese logistics partners, have since moved some work to lower-cost Bangladesh, Indonesia and India. Deckers Outdoor Corp. moved production to northern China in 2008 to secure tax benefits and lower wages and get away from wage pressures in the south. It is now scouting locations in Vietnam.

But every country presents its own labor and infrastructure issues. Few have the extensive supply chains and transportation infrastructure it took China 30 years to develop. Footwear makers note virtually all of Asia’s leather tanneries are located in China. This prevents a wholesale shift out of China for apparel, footwear, housewares and other low-tech manufacturers. Indeed, from 2000 to 2008, when Chinese input costs and currency rose substantially, the country’s share of the world’s manufactured exports grew from 4.7 to 12.7 percent.

Vietnam is facing many of the same issues as China, according to Osprey Packs Founder Mike Ptofenhauer, who lived in Vietnam for four years to oversee the company’s manufacturing operations.

“The labor force in Vietnam is limited, and perhaps becoming less accessible to the sort of low-tech manufacturing required by outdoor industry manufacturers,” Ptofenhauer said. “The labor costs are continually rising along with the competition for labor, particularly in the cut-and-sew industry.”

Ptofenhauer notes some sewing contractors have moved to the outskirts of the city only to find that the traffic congestion is so bad that they can’t attract labor.

Compounding problems of late has been a dearth of container ships, which ocean freight carriers sidelined last year in a bid to boost rates amid multibillion-dollar losses. Carriers have even slowed their freighters to save fuel costs, further delaying shipments.

U.S. brands are coping by air freighting shipments – an unsustainable tactic that is prompting some unpleasant discussions between U.S. brands and their Chinese factories. This spring, one big-box retailer demanded a Chinese manufacturer who missed a delivery date pay to air freight the shipment to the United States. The manufacturer concluded it would be better off withholding the shipment, but countered with an offer to pay ocean freight costs. The retailer pulled their business and said they would find another vendor only to return 90 days later to admit they were unable to find a vendor who could fulfill their needs. The manufacturer agreed to take them back, but said it would be unable to ship for eight months.

“That’s the situation,” said a source familiar with the situation. “Before, it was clearly a buyer’s market.”

Yeh said brands will now have to partner more closely with their Chinese factories.

“The retailer has to help too,” he noted. “They have to provide a forecast and everybody has to share the risk. We are all in this together. I as a retailer can squeeze vendors, but if I don’t get product, I don’t make money. In the end, we all serve one master and that is the consumer.”

Decker’s has excellent quarter

Deckers Outdoor Corporation results released on July 2, prompted the owner of UGG, Teva and other outdoor footwear brands to boost its earnings and sales guidance for the year.

Net sales increased 33.7% to $137.1 million versus $102.5 million last year, while gross margin improved 450 basis points to 44.3% versus 39.8% a year ago.

"Our business continued to perform very well during the second quarter with sales, margins and earnings all coming in above plan," said Angel Martinez, President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of Directors. "We were particularly pleased with the pace of sales for the UGG brand overseas.

After a solid spring season, we began shipping the fall line to distributors and we are confident that our diversified product offering is gaining important traction in international markets. At the same time, the strong momentum Teva experienced to start the year carried forward into the second quarter, especially in our domestic wholesale channel as the brand continues to benefit from a more complete collection of open and closed toe footwear and improved shelf space.

The performance of our retail stores was also very encouraging with the growing year round demand for the UGG brand driving higher sell-through rates. We are excited with exceeding our financial objectives for the first six months of the year, and as we pass the half-way mark of 2010, we are confident we can continue to drive earnings growth as our sales base increases."

  • UGG Brand.Net sales for the second quarter increased 34.6% to $100.2 million compared to $74.4 million for the same period last year. The sales gain was primarily attributable to an increase in global shipments of fall product versus the same period a year ago, combined with solid sales of the spring line at company owned retail stores.
  • Teva Brand. Teva brand net sales increased 38.4% to $31.2 million for the second quarter compared to $22.6 million for the same period last year. The increase in sales was driven by higher reorders of the expanded spring line of open and closed toe footwear in the second quarter compared with the year ago period, as well as from the company assuming control of direct distribution in the Benelux region.
  • Other Brands. Combined net sales of the Company's other brands were $5.6 million for both the second quarter of 2010 and 2009.  eCommerce. Sales for the eCommerce business, which are included in the brand sales numbers above, were $5.2 million for the second quarter of 2010 compared to $5.3 million for the same period last year.
  • Retail Stores. Sales for the retail store business, which are included in the brand sales numbers above, increased 63.1% to $10.0 million for the second quarter compared to $6.1 million for the same period last year, driven by five new stores and a same store sales increase of 19.2% for those stores that were open for the full three month periods ended June 30, 2009 and 2010.

LaCrosse Footwear posts lower sales

LaCrosse Footwear, Inc. reported net sales of $26.6 million for the second quarter ended June 26, 2010, down 11% from $30.0 million in the second quarter of 2009. For the first half of 2010, net sales were $60.8 million, up 9% from $55.9 million for the same period of 2009.

For the second quarter of 2010, LaCrosse reported net sales of $26.6 million, down 11% from $30.0 million in the second quarter of 2009. For the first half of 2010, net sales were $60.8 million, up 9% from $55.9 million for the same period of 2009. Net income was $0.1 million in the second quarter of 2010, down from $1.7 million in the second quarter of 2009.

For the first half of 2010, net income was $1.8 million, up 83% from $1.0 million or the same period of 2009. Sales to the work market were $18.6 million for the second quarter of 2010, down 15% from $21.9 million for the same period of 2009. For the first half of 2010, sales to the work market were $45.0 million, up 10% from $40.9 million for the same period of 2009.

The decrease in work sales in the second quarter of 2010 was primarily due to the timing of U.S. government orders. Sales to the outdoor market were $8.0 million for the second quarter of 2010, down 2% from $8.1 million for the same period in 2009.

The quarterly decrease in outdoor sales reflects the impact of constraints on the supply of finished goods caused by capacity limitations experienced by the company’s manufacturing partners in China.

Limitations on the supply of products especially impacted sales of certain key outdoor product styles as retailers transition to product styles being launched in the second half of 2010. For the first half of 2010, sales to the outdoor market were $15.8 million, up 5% from $15.0 million for the same period in 2009.

The company continued to maintain strong gross margins and strengthen its operations. Gross margin for the second quarter of 2010 was 40.9% of net sales, comparable to the same period of 2009. LaCrosse’s operating expenses were $10.7 million in the second quarter 2010, up 4% from the second quarter 2009. The Company has continued investing in its domestic sales, marketing and product development efforts.

The company significantly reduced its inventory by $8.5 million or 24% from the second quarter of 2009, reflecting execution of the planned transition to certain new products being launched in the second half of 2010, as well as improved management of its European inventories.

“While the timing of large orders to various branches of the U.S. government adversely impacted our business in the second quarter, we remain confident that our business fundamentals are sound,” said Joseph P. Schneider, president and CEO of LaCrosse Footwear, Inc. “We have continued to strengthen our customer relationships throughout the government channel, penetrate further into a variety of niche work markets and see our newest products being well received by our customers.

 Overall, we’re pleased with our results for the first half of 2010 and are excited about our opportunities for growth. “Moving into the second half of 2010, we’re focused on addressing the industry-wide supply issues that impacted our first half sales. While we can expect to see quarter-to-quarter fluctuations in future government channel sales, the long-term trends in our government, wholesale, direct, and international distribution channels look increasingly positive, along with strong at-once demand from our wholesale channel partners and an improved consumer spending environment. In preparation for future growth, we’re continuing to enhance our operations, which include the recent opening of our new factory store that showcases the outstanding legacy and quality of our brands, and the upcoming move into our new domestic production facility.

That facility is expected to significantly increase our manufacturing capacity and our ability to efficiently meet growing worldwide demand for products reflecting our great tradition of superior craftsmanship.”

Vietnamese footwear exports up sharply

Vietnam is estimated to have sold $2.75 billion from exporting footwear products in the seven months of 2010, rising 13.8% from a year earlier, the General Statistics Office (GSO) said on July 26.

The country’s footwear exports in July have risen 29.8% on-year despite a decrease of 2.69% against June at $470 million.

Vietnam currently ranks the fourth in the world’s top ten footwear exporters. The Southeast Asian country targets to export $6.2 billion worth of footwear products this year.

The industry, however, is facing numerous difficulties, particularly the lack of workers and the dependence on imported materials.

Vietnam’s footwear exports are also suffering from self-defense measures by the European Union, Peru and Turkey.

The country is aiming to expand its footwear exports to other markets like the U.S., ASEAN member nations and its partners to take advantage of free trade areas set up between the bloc and related sides.

Indonesia plans footwear growth

Indonesia aims to become the second largest shoe hub of the world, within two years, surpassing Vietnam. It will outshine Vietnam as biggest footwear exporter of the world with estimated annual exports worth US $2.1 billion.

The country that stands third in shoe production, following China and Vietnam, can now produce over three million pairs of shoes, each year, of renowned brands like Nike, Adidas, New Balance. Several famous shoe brands intend to move their industries to Indonesia from Vietnam and China.

Two shoe producing companies of Korea would set up new plants in Indonesia investing $150 million, and would also relocate their plants from Vietnam and China. The two companies have so far produced shoes bearing Adidas and Geox brands.

A new plant worth $100 million would be built on 20 hectares in Serang, west of Jakarta by the famous shoe brand, ‘Adidas’, while, ‘Geox’ will establish its new plant worth $50 million on 5.6 hectares of land in Pasuruan, East Java.

Adidas and Geox have production capacity of 850,000 and 1.2 million pairs of shoes, respectively. Such relocation is also making textile and electronic companies to shift their plants to Indonesia.

UPHOLSTERY

World Market at Las Vegas

The semi-annual furniture market is taking place in Las Vegas as we go to press. Furniture today interviewed a number of participants and produced the following stories.

The publication noted that despite a sluggish economy that continues to frustrate retailers and manufacturers alike, buyers were upbeat as they shopped the market on opening day.

Not surprisingly, exhibitors said buyers shopped hard for market specials and other deals, but the vast majority of them were optimistic about future trends. The optimism is evident, exhibitors said, even though a significant improvement in business doesn't appear to be imminent.

"We are looking for a good market," said Ashley Chairman Ron Wanek. "Initial traffic may have looked a little light, but it has since picked up and we are seeing all the dealers we expected to see."

Wanek and other exhibitors - especially those in Buildings B and C - said opening day traffic was light in the morning but had picked up noticeably by lunch time.

Bedding showrooms were particularly busy by afternoon, and most major upholstery, case goods and occasional furniture resources also reported brisk afternoon traffic.

"Our core dealers are here shopping in Vegas, and we expect to see our normal turnout of customers," said Bill Wittenberg, president of Klaussner.

"We had dealers in here on Sunday and they were writing orders," added Gabriel Pu, vice president of case goods and upholstery importer Acme Furniture. "We are off to a good start"

"So far I am pleasantly surprised," said Richard Olmeda, president and CEO of occasional and accent furniture specialist Stein World. "People are absolutely writing (orders.) They didn't come in to browse. They came in with a purpose."

That purpose, he said, is to align themselves with sources that can provide them a combination of product selection, value and quick delivery.

"The whole key is having it in stock," said Chris Podschun, president of upholstery producer and importer LaCrosse Furniture. "When you have a lot of selection and not a lot of inventory, you have learned to navigate the new economy."

Podschun and others who import said they continue to be plagued by shipping delays and significantly higher freight prices for containers. The delays forced some exhibitors to scramble to get samples set up in showrooms in time for Monday's opening.

Wittenberg said his company anticipated the longer shipping times and was able to accelerate the delivery of samples. "It was the right decision because in bedroom alone, we have seven new collections that we're introducing here this week," he said.

Pu said just about all retailers "were asking about container prices and shipping times."

"It means that $699 sofa may now be $799, or that $399 recliner may now be $499 - just because of the higher freight costs," said Bo Morrison, director of merchandising for recliners and home theater seating at Berkline. "But in reality, shipping costs are back to where they were about three years ago."

Heath Corso, marketing director for first-time Las Vegas exhibitor Premier Furniture, said the leather upholstery resource "had a good day" and is looking forward to showing the new line to more buyers on Tuesday - which he believes will be the company's busiest day at market."The reception has been good," Corso said. "The lighter colors seem to be doing especially well."

The problems related to Asia - from increased container prices to shipping delays - have some buyers rethinking their merchandising strategies, looking for more domestic sources or at least suppliers with strong domestic warehouse programs.

Houston-based Gallery Furniture's buyers will be here "looking for a lot of furniture made in America," said owner Jim McIngvale. He said he has had great success with names like Jonathan Louis upholstery (made in California), Tempur-Pedic bedding and Mayo, American Leather and United Leather - all made in Texas. Not all of them show in Las Vegas, but McIngvale said he'll be here walking the aisles looking for others.

Why the push for American made goods? Three reasons, he said. "No. 1, it creates jobs in this country. No. 2, it's easier to turn the inventory. You don't have to wait (months). And No. 3, it's a great story," and one relevant to Gallery's customers.  "It's not that we don't carry Chinese furniture," he said. "We just want to give them a choice."

Gallery will send about 20 people to the market - in part for the educational seminars - including several warehouse employees and one from accounting.

U.S. Furniture factory orders up in May

U.S. furniture factory orders in May were up 10% from the same month a year earlier, the seventh month in a row of positive comparisons, according to Smith Leonard.

"Admittedly, the results were compared with very weak numbers in 2009, but these results seem to indicate that 2009 appeared to be the bottom of the recession for our participants," said Ken Smith, managing partner of the accounting and consulting firm, which surveys residential furniture factories each month.

Orders for the first five months of this year were running 10% ahead of last year, Smith Leonard said. But the first five months of 2009 were down 21% from 2008, indicating the industry hasn't fully rebounded.

Shipments in May were up 9% from the same month last year and were up 6% for the year to date. Order backlogs have grown sharply, and were up 40% in May from a year earlier.

The firm said 71% of the participants in its factory survey are reporting increased orders year-to-date.

Pending home sales down

The pending sales index of existing U.S. homes fell 2.6 percent to 75.7 in June, partly reflecting the end of a federal tax credit for first-time buyers of up to $8,000. The temporary tax credit originally expired June 30, but the federal government extended it to Sept. 30 for buyers who had already signed a contract and were unable to close the sale in time. Closings usually take a month or two after a contract is signed, but the rush of buyers caused additional delays. The pending sales index totaled 77.7 in May and 110.9 in April, when buyers sought to take advantage of the tax credit. The index's current level is 18.6% below June 2009, when it stood at 93.0.

Chinese auto sales down

Auto sales growth in China, the world's biggest market, weakened further in July, data showed Monday. 

Sales rose 17.2% to 1.05 million, the official Xinhua News Agency said, citing the cabinet's China Automotive Technology and Research Center. That was down from the 19.4% growth reported in June, and the report said August sales are likely to weaken further.  

GARMENTS & ACESSORIES

Coach posts lower sales

Leather goods maker Coach Inc (COH.N) said shopper traffic to its full-line stores slowed during the fourth quarter, raising concerns about its sales growth and sending shares down almost 4 percent.

While Chief Executive Lew Frankfort said on a call that far more of the shoppers who did step into Coach stores made purchases, helping to boost sales, the lower traffic trend raised concerns on Wall Street about Coach's ability to meet its sales targets.

"You don't want to hear them say that traffic is falling, especially at the start of the fall season," said Brian Sozzi, an analyst with Wall Street Strategies.

Frankfort's remarks overshadowed better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, boosted by strong demand for its less expensive Poppy handbag line and rapid growth in China.

In an earlier statement, Frankfort said he was confident Coach's sales and profits could continue to rise at a double-digit pace, aided by expansion in places such as Western Europe and China, where Coach is just entering the market.

But that expansion, coupled with higher leather costs, could eat away at Coach's profit margins, Sozzi said.

"They basically told the market they won't be able to beat year-over-year comparisons," he said. Coach also reported shipments in its wholesale business to U.S. department stores were flat during the quarter, compared with a year earlier. But Frankfort told Reuters it was better to risk losing sales than start the discounting many department stores were engaging in. "We have been reluctant to be promotional," he said in an interview.

Net income for the fourth quarter, which ended July 3, rose 34.1 percent to $195.5 million, , from $145.8 million, a year earlier.

Coach said sales rose to $950.5 million in its fourth quarter, while analysts had forecast sales of $888.87 million. The period included an extra week, without which Coach said sales would have been up 13 percent, and earnings per share would have been 23 percent higher at about 56 cents.

Sales at North American stores open at least a year rose 6.3 percent during the quarter.

Frankfort said that a strategy to entice shoppers with an extensive line of entry-priced products and to expand its outlets had driven sales in North America, which makes up the bulk of the business.

While China now accounts for about 3 percent of Coach's sales, Frankfort said that by mid-decade, that could rise to 10 percent, or about $500 million.

"It (China) has the opportunity within a few years to play a much more significant role," Frankfort told Reuters.

For the fiscal year that just ended, retail sales in China doubled. Coach has 41 stores in China as of July 3, and has plans to open another 30 locations there this fiscal year.

Coach also plans to build up its men's business, particularly in Japan and the United States. Sales to men account for about 4 percent of overall sales and could reach 10 percent within a few years, Frankfort said.

Coach's gross margins rose 2.9 percentage points to 73.3 percent, partly due to lower leather prices. Frankfort said he expects the costs of raw materials to edge higher this year.

Coach operates 342 retail stores and 121 factory outlets in North America.

LCMH Moet/Vuiton profits jump

French luxury goods behemoth LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton Tuesday reported a 53% jump in first half net profit, heralding a strong return of high-end consumption and, in a departure from cautiousness seen in previous quarters, expressed confidence in the rest of the year.

The world's largest luxury goods company, which owns Krug champagne and shoe-maker Berluti, posted net profit for the first six months of €1.05 billion (US$1.36 billion), up from €687 million a year ago as all divisions posted double-digit revenue growth.

In a sign the company plans to solidify its position as the industry's largest player, LVMH executives pledged to employ marketing efforts and invest in fast-growing markets like China to make market share gains.

"In the current recovery from the economic crisis, LVMH will continue to gain market share," the company said in its statement.

Revenue for the six months to June 30 was €9.1 billion, up 17% from €7.8 billion a year earlier and ahead of analyst expectations of €8.85 billion. All divisions, from perfume to wine posted double digit sales growth with the highest increase coming from watches and jewelry, up 28% to €443 million.

LVMH said there was a strong recovery in orders. The business was one of the hardest hit in the sector as retailers dramatically cut back on orders during the crisis, preferring to draw down stocks before buying new products.

The fashion and leather goods division, which houses the company's star brand and one of the industry's strongest performers throughout the crisis, the leather goods maker Louis Vuitton, posted 18% growth to €3.52 billion. Luxury consumers took refuge in more classic leather accessories during the economic downturn, preferring staid brands to the trendy handbags of the boom years.

Pakistan garment exports sharply lower

Leather garments of Pakistan showed export plunge during last fiscal registering a fall of 10.31 percent. These exports reduced to $860.244 million last fiscal from $959.146 million during previous fiscal.

While in fiscal 2007-08, leather exports of the country accounted to $1.25 billion, which has been witnessing a falling trend, due to shoddier economic conditions of the country and the impact of war.

Only raw leather exports from the country registered positive growth of 12.57 percent in the fiscal 2009-10. It increased up to $337.145 million from $299.494 million during the previous fiscal. However, unit price of raw leather slipped to $14.17 per square metres from $15.33, as per the Federal Bureau of Statistic’s provisional figures.

Increased demand from China, India and Vietnam for shoe manufacturing swelled up the exports of raw leather, including, wetblue and wet split. The country largely exports gloves used in industries. But industries in the West shrunk imports of industrial gloves on account of massive layoffs taking place due to economic slump.

Exports of leather gloves stood at $96.081 million last year, recording a 15.74 percent decline over previous year’s exports worth $152.258 million. Several gloves and garment units in Lahore, Sailkot and Kasur pulled downed their shutters due to less demand. Exports of leather apparel and clothing items plummeted to $343.333 million last year by 10.71 percent from $102.884 million in the previous year.

Moreover, leather footwear exports fell down to $70.468 million last year from $102.884 million in the previous year, recording negative growth of 6.34 percent. However, miscellaneous leather products’ shipment witnessed 10.38 percent hike from $11.974 million during 2008-09 to $13.217 million during the fiscal 2009-10.

RAW MATERIALS

Prices were generally steady since our last report. This is the case for North America, Europe and Latin America.


Click on chart to view underlying data.

Wet blue, whole hides, machine flayed, full substance, average 48/52 ft, average 23 kg

Selection TR1 at around $ 1.22-1.25/ft CFR.

Selection TR2 at around $ 1.08-1.12/ft CFR.

Upholstery crust leather fo in substance 0.9/1.1 mm, in sizes varying from 48 to 56 ft:

$ 1.22-1.25/ft CFR for selection TR1

$ 1.12-1.15/ft CFR for selection TR2

The automotive upholstery leather, in substances 1.1/1.3 to 1.2/1.4 mm, stucco and buffed, at:

$ 1.30-1.35/ft CFR for selection TR1 (Asking price)

$ 1.20-1.25/ft CFR for selection TR2 (Asking price)

Prices in Argentina


Click on chart to view underlying data.

Crust leather for automotive upholstery, in substance 1.1/1.3 to 1.2/1.4 mm, has been sold at levels like:

$ 1.35-1.45/ft CFR for material that can either be stucco and buffed for the most requiring customers, but usually sold for full grain type of leather.

Upholstery crust leather, we can find prices from $ 1.15 up to 1.50/ft CFR,

For shoes, in substance 1.2/1.4 mm, natural/not dyed, prices have been:

TR1 - $ 2.20/ft CFR

TR2 - $ 1.80

TR3 - $ 1.40-1.50

LOOKING AHEAD

Looking far further ahead than usual, many of the above stories in this weeks footwear section talk about a shift away from manufacturing and even tanning in China. As their economy improves, and the population enjoys ever higher standards of living, the home of cheap labor is getting more expensive each year.

This is no secret and is why many firms involved in making leather products as well as a myriad of other goods are beginning the shift to other low cost countries. Few will argue that China has seen its best days of being the manufacturer for the world.

On the plus side however, this same population that is enjoying growing affluence is also becoming a larger consumer of leather products.

 In our view, the day will come in the not too distant future, where a sizeable percentage of leather products will be made elsewhere and then exported to Chinese consumers.



Leather Table
Shoe Upper LeatherThis WeekLast Week
Full Grain aniline, cowhide 2.0 mm and down2.45-2.502.45-2.50
Full Grain aniline, cowhide 2.0/2.4 mm2.45-2.502.45-2.50
Full Grain aniline, cowhide 2.4 mm and up2.45-2.502.45-2.50
Corrected leather, cowhide 2.0 mm and down1.70-1.801.70-1.80
Corrected leather, cowhide 2.0/2.4 mm1.70-1.801.70-1.80
Corrected leather, cowhide 2.4 mm and up1.70-1.801.70-1.80
Upholstery LeatherThis WeekLast Week
Full Grain aniline, cowhide 1.0/1.4 mm2.802.80
Full Grain aniline, cowhide 1.4 mm and up3.203.20
Corrected leather, cowhide 1.0/1.4 mm2.602.60
Corrected leather, cowhide 1.4 mm and up3.013.01
Split LeatherThis WeekLast Week
Embossed, smooth 1.4/1.6 mm.90-.95.90-.95
Embossed haircell 1.4/1.6 mm.90-.95.90-.95



European Weekly Market Report Archive - 7/16/2010



Craig Roalson, Editor

Reflections on The Week

European Cattle Hide Prices “High” Compared To World Market

Buyers around the world observed once again this week that, in general, European cattle hide prices are high compared with other large regional sources. This fact has kept Chinese interest, for example, to a minimum on standard European selections. Nonetheless, European hides experienced essentially steady levels, albeit on a moderate volume of trade.

Obviously the high price of hides continued to discourage buying among local European tanners as well, something that has been aggravating an already difficult financial situation for most factories around the continent. The other trend related to the relatively high price of local raw material was the ongoing interest being displayed by European tanners for off shore hides, wet blue and crust. They struggled, too, with the price of other alternatives to European hides, but seemed to find better values in other sources.

Such was the case this week in North American hides. For the automotive trade there was a steady inquiry for heavy unbranded steer hides. Furniture upholstery tanners also bought native (unbranded) and branded beef-type cow hides. The dollar declined by another 1.5% or more against both the euro and the British pound this week, too. Not only that, but U.S. steer hides also lost a dollar or so even before currency factors.

Interest in Central and South American goods was also seen, although the volume booked at the end of the week did not seem too impressive. We heard about very low grades in the more tropical areas being snapped up, as well as a few deals on more standard Brazilian wet blue hides. Again the weaker dollar helped in related conversions.

Preparations for summer and beyond remained a general preoccupation for all sectors of the hide and leather trade. How far to position into September or even October was the great debate, especially at fully steady levels in line with what had transpired to date. We heard very little in price declines, but by the same token, price increases were rare, except in minor increments mainly due to currency or other non-market factors typical in July negotiations.

What will it take to bring European hides back into a globally competitive price structure? Since domestic tanners got pinched in a short bought position at strenuously high raw-to-leather prices, it appears that it will take an equally painful time frame to work off orders and gradually burden suppliers with unwanted inventory, something that has yet to develop in any meaningful way. At this point the autumn leather trade will have to sort this out. Ultimately it might take a drop in other regional hide markets to create a market downdraft within Europe itself.

Meanwhile, lamb and sheep prices continued firm, mainly related to a sharp increase in New Zealand, but otherwise traders in Europe had no great local activity to report. Goat prices were also firm.

Upcoming European Trade Show Events

Leather and Shoes

Kiev, Ukraine

July 20-23

Pure London

London, UK

Aug. 1-3

Moda Footwear

Birmingham, UK

Aug. 8-10

Leather and Fur

Kiev, Ukraine

Sep. 14-17

Le Cuir

Paris, France

Sep. 14-16

MIPEL-MICAM

Milan, Italy

Sep. 19-22

Modacalzado-Iber.

Madrid, Spain

Sep 24-26

Lineapelle

Bologna, Italy

Oct. 12-14

Tanning Tech

Bologna, Italy

Oct. 12-14

SIMAC

Bologna, Italy

Oct. 12-14

This Week's Currency Corner: U.S. Dollar, Euro And Pound

USD-EUR

_EUR-GBP

_USD-GBP

Friday, July 9

1.264

1.195

1.510

Monday, July 12

1.258

1.194

1.502

Tuesday, July 13

1.264

1.197

1.513

Wednesday, July 14

1.273

1.199

1.526

Thursday, July 15

1.286

1.194

1.536

Industry News Bullets

Belgium- JBS Acquires Toledo

JBS completed its acquisition of the Toledo Group, the Gent, Belgium based cooked and frozen beef products company. The move increases JBS’s presence in Europe, especially in value added products. Toledo already has strong partnerships in South America for cooked beef products.

UK- Burberry Numbers Improving

Burberry Q1 revenues were reported up 24% over the like period of 2009 while retail sales improved by 16%. It continues to weigh heavily on leather handbags for growth as its most successful category from last year.

Belgium- Vietnamese Exports To EU Decline

Figures released this week indicate that Vietnamese leather and footwear exports topped $2.3 billion during the last 6 months, up 10.9%. However, exports to the EU were down due the extension of anti-dumping duties.

Italy- U.S. Weekly Hide Sales Continue To Italy

According to figures from last week’s raw cattle hide report, U.S. exporters sold 27, 200 raw hides to Italy out of a 466,800 total overall. In wet blue the U.S. sold 75,100 cattle hides, with Germany the only European recipient at 1,700 grains. Italy registered a -4,000 piece adjustment in that category.

UK- Scottish Leather Opens Thermal Energy Plant

The Scottish Leather Group opened its new thermal energy plant, a big step toward its goal of generating zero waste by the year 2015.

Belgium- Chinese Exports Increase Dramatically To Europe

June exports of all products (including leather and other) increased by 36% from June, 2009. This is roughly the same as its 35% global export increase for the same timeframe.

Raw Hide Markets Across Europe

UK, Irish Ox/Heifers Uneventful

The UK and Irish ox/heifer market was mainly quiet this week as low kills offset slow sales to unofficially maintain prices. Bid quality deteriorated a bit from overseas, but this was attributed to unfavorable currency weakness in the US dollar in China.

Even bids in dollar terms, according to one source, were lower this week than last but were refused by UK exporters. A quantity of UK 36 and ups were bid $77.00 CNF and turned down in one instance, where as this material had sold at $79.50 only a week to ten days ago. UK 31’s were bid $73.00 which was also turned down.

Abattoirs held essentially to stand on levels for yet another week. Dealers complained that butcher concessions of at least another 8-10% would have to be made in order for normal margins to be restored. Predictions of at least a portion of this need being satisfied were put forth in interviews with correspondents this morning.

Meanwhile symptoms of difficulties associated with a stressed out market made their way back to the source as the pace of trading slowed down. According to more than one supplier, payment, shipping and claim issues appeared to be on the rise.

Forecast: The stage seems set for at least incremental softening in the weeks to come. However, as long as abattoirs play hardball, traders and dealers will not be very motivated to take their own levels down, either.

European Cow Market Steady, Quiet

Female Hides Report


Click on chart to view underlying data.

Trading was moderate on traditional Western European cow selections, but there was enough activity to keep a certain number of players near their telephones and desks. However, at the end of the day, few changes in price could be detected.

North German cows 25 and up maintained a trading range, depending on the usual variables and payment terms, of between EUR 1.35 and 1.40 delivered tannery North Italy. Good Benelux cows traded in a similar range, according to a source.

French heavy cows had different results, depending on who one talked to. One source said he sold all he wanted to into Santa Croce to vegetable tanners at fully EUR 1.55, while we heard other 32 up French cows (maybe from a less desirable area?) sold into the Arzignano market at EUR 1.40 NIT. All business was booked for September or September/October delivery.

In wet blue UK ex 26 and ups we heard that this material traded lower by several cents per square foot. By the same token, however, we heard that there was unsolicited interest on salted UK heavy cows at $60.00 CNF China this week that was passed due to the well sold producer position in this case.

Ongoing business was written on a smattering of North American cow hides to the furniture trade in Northern Italy. Fleshed U.S.A. unbranded plump cow hides (non dairy type) weighing about 50 lbs. sold for $54.00 CIF. We also heard that the same type of cow, but branded brought $47.00 CIF. There were indications of heavier material selling for commensurately higher levels, too, without further clarification.

The above interest remained keen due to the weakening U.S. dollar which induced more buying among the Italians. Already in last week’s trading, Italian tanners bought 27,200 U.S.A. cattle hides, most of it presumed to be female selections for September arrival.

Forecast: Our prediction of a steady market from a week ago proved to be true. The way things developed this week, we can only look forward to more of the same with perhaps a bit less participation from all sides as the vacation mood prevails.

Veal Skins Firm

As primary veal skin producers were adequately postured coming into the week, the general attitude was to not officially offer more skins. As such, any bidding was mostly unsolicited on the part of tanners and little, that we know of, was accomplished.

As more key executives in the European trade were absent for holidays in the north, even unsolicited interest could not be fielded in some cases. Reciprocally, certain buyers were also away on vacation. In fact one player speculated that no serious initiatives on veal skins may be forthcoming until the Shanghai fair in September.

We did hear that interest remained keen in China for 16.50 kilo skins. The same pattern of less interest for over 20 kilos or less than 14 kilos was in place again this week, so most demand was focused on a narrow range of product. Bidding in China came in at around $66.00-$68.00 for 16.50 kilo Dutch or equivalent veal skins on a CNF basis, but this seemed not to be enough for at least some who held out for $70.00 or so.

We also heard that there were inquiries coming in out of India, a market that seems to be emerging once again. Just how much influence this will create remains to be seen.

Forecast: Our predictions of a steady-to-firm veal skin market remain in tact as producers seem content and resolute to leave things as they are for the near term, regardless of tanner response.

Bull Hides Trade Constricted, Stable

Male Hides Report


Click on chart to view underlying data.

Prices remained essentially unchanged this week but the landscape was noticeably quiet for a large share of the trade in male hides. Slaughter in places like Germany and Eastern European countries was very low, as much as 30% below normal according to some estimates. This factor alone was responsible for the dearth of offerings, particularly in bull hides.

On the buy side, too, there was not much motivation shown by traditional bull hide tanners. A couple of the automotive leather tanners decided to increase their shutdown periods from two weeks to three, which was puzzling to some in the trade. In fact it had recently been announced to the contrary that at least luxury automobile sales in Europe were on a very nice rebound from levels of a year ago.

As such the market stayed officially at the nominally listed levels of our price guide from a week ago with ongoing fresh hide programs guiding movement for the most part. This meant that the going price for North German 40 and up bulls stayed at around EUR 1.70 with a top of EUR 1.75. South German heavies are more debatable but we are told that any meaningful volume could only be traded at around EUR 1.85 with a top of EUR 1.90 delivered.

Another ongoing trend is the interest in North American fleshed heavy native steers which continued to attract a measured level of interest from upholstery tanners in Italy. Price ideas on 60/64 lb. weight averages hovered between $80.00 and $81.00 for the tanners and $82.00 and $83.00 CIF for sellers, including commissions. Direct sales may have been consummated for a bit less.

Forecast: With the weaker dollar versus the euro, and the fact that comparable European material was more expensive and less available, the U.S. channel is likely to captivate interest during the next week or so. However, the holiday mood combined with unusually low European bull slaughter ought to limit trading on most origins and protect price structure for the near term.

Looking Ahead (Commentary)

The Futility Of Projections

At Hidenet.com we pride ourselves on the predictive quality of our reports. That is, when we do our weekly recap of the events that just transpired, we also provide our readers what we expect to happen next. Usually our prognostic track record is pretty good. In fact, as certain market factors line up on any given week, we are often confident that our predictions are pretty accurate for several weeks into the future.

Every once in awhile we get an email or a phone call from someone, usually a large tanner or a leather manufacturer, who asks us to give him our long range view of the raw materials market. By “long range view” the caller wants to know what we think will happen even several years from now. Gulp(!) Obviously this a far more daunting task than what we do from week to week.

It is also clear that the guy who is asking us this question is trying to make projections for his company. He likely has an annual meeting to prepare for and needs to tell the ‘talking heads’ at his corporate get together how much leather he will need and what the cost will be in 2011 or 2012. This is the kind of guy who wants to know what the slaughter figures and cattle placement numbers are going to be in every country in the world so he can sling gobs of 7 and 8 digit figures at his peers. He wants price charts and graphs from the past umpteen years in an effort to predict the future based on past performance.

His task is to superimpose broader global and regional economic forecasts on top of his cattle herd numbers and ancient hide price data to chart some wobbly line heading up or down a slope of company guidance for the next two-to-five years. As noble as this project is, I feel sorry for this ‘designated swami’ who has to stand before the highest paid executives of his firm in some conference room and roll out 5 years of prophesy in 20 minutes time.

Actually I think it would be far more entertaining for those in attendance at the next meeting to bring out the charts, graphs and projections from, say, the autumn, 2007 corporate meeting. What did that poor bastard predict would happen to the hide and leather market from 2007 through 2010??? If I were that dude, I would be hiding behind my easel projecting the arrival of a nice volley of rotten tomatoes!

I know that this whole exercise of projections is unavoidable in the corporate world. Everyone understands that there will be unforeseen political, economic or environmental events which will ultimately and dramatically alter the course of even the finest company projections. Yet without analysis, without expectations, without projections of any kind it is impossible to prepare for what lies ahead.

As someone recently told me, “If you don’t have an intended destination, any road will get you there.” Corporation strategies based on projections and forecasts are crucial. But here is the key: However often you refer to your company’s strategy, be willing and flexible to change that course according to the imponderable (and inevitable) shifting sands of time.

Craig Roalson (editor)

Hidenet.com

A Reminder to our Readers

All the price charts we print are intended to be used solely for a basis of helping illustrate trends in the market. The actual prices seen in them do not reflect qualitative variation from one origin to another. Hidenet.com recognizes that there is a variety of factors which determines different prices for similarly described merchandise.




Latin American Report Archive - 8/6/2010



Juan Henrique Izquierdo, Editor

THE WEEK IN REVIEW


“the week at a glance”

Prices unchanged

Tanneries holding onto stocks to avoid higher replacement cost

Some spot demand at slightly higher prices

Brazilian leather exports ok


Details as follows:

Nothing has really changed since last weeks report and in the short term, we are not expecting to see anything different. Prices cannot be expected to change until tanners and factories come back from holidays in the northern hemisphere at the end of this month.

Regardless, negotiation is always open but not in a such wide range as some predicted. Limits are clear and we would say they are about what we state below in our “Prices” zone below.

Tanneries are wisely preferring to keep their stocks or even having to produce less, if this is the case, rather than giving the hides away at prices that would not only not cover their cost but also would bring them big losses.

It is known in the leather sector, everywhere, that the market brings profit and losses. We all also know that it takes more time for profits than losses, so having to throw away the recovery mood that took place within the last 5-6 months in just one month, is to be avoided.

Some tanneries are having some spot stocks of certain kind of hides that were not that much demanded during the “heat” period, but they are also not burning them away as one would think of.

The market as a whole, is showing some spot inquiries at a slightly higher average price than the peak it reached before. However, nobody is feeling that customers are willing to give continuity to programs at levels much much lower than before.

Apart from this, bigger orders, that always had better pricing, are within an average range of prices if we consider the year around.

There are holidays right now and not lack of interest from the market.

If after a month after everyone comes back from holidays the situation remains the same as today, then yes we can state that the market has really soften down. But not now. Now it would be only speculation.

According to official resources in Brazil, exports of leather of all kinds in July, were $143 million, which is an increase appoximating 55% against the same month last year, but a reduction of about 13% against June.

On the other side, total exports from January to July this year were $ 1,016 million, against only $584 millions during the same period last year, representing an increase of about 73%. The leather sector incidentally, only represents about 0.7% of the total exports of the country.

RAW HIDES

Nothing changed yet either in Brazil, Argentina or Uruguay.

Although due to the constant demand (everybody demanding a little bit each makes a big whole demand), against a market that theoretically is asking to pay less, the trend on raw hides is of big pressure for going up all the time everywhere.

WET BLUE & CRUST

Prices below did not have any change these days, and it doesn’t seem they are going to be changed so soon, at least for quite some time after holidays in the north hemisphere.

PRICES

Prices in Brazil (Most of the prices below are the current prices that we know to be the ones being really used and at which there are business in the market, unless they are market “asking price”).


Click on chart to view underlying data.

Wet blue, whole hides, machine flayed, full substance, average 48/52 ft, average 23 kg

Selection TR1 at around $ 1.22-1.25/ft CFR.

Selection TR2 at around $ 1.08-1.12/ft CFR.

In sides, we can say that prices are about these:

substance 2.4/+ mm

selection B

$ 1.40

selection C

$ 1.20

selection D

$ 1.00

selection E

$ 0.90

The crust leather for upholstery, in substance 0.9/1.1 mm, in sizes varying from 48 to 56 ft:

$ 1.22-1.25/ft CFR for selection TR1

$ 1.12-1.15/ft CFR for selection TR2

The automotive upholstery leather, in substances 1.1/1.3 to 1.2/1.4 mm, stucco and buffed, at:

$ 1.30-1.35/ft CFR for selection TR1 (Asking price)

$ 1.20-1.25/ft CFR for selection TR2 (Asking price)

Prices in Argentina


Click on chart to view underlying data.

The crust leather for automotive upholstery, in substance 1.1/1.3 to 1.2/1.4 mm, has been sold at levels like:

$ 1.35-1.45/ft CFR for material that can either be stucco and buffed for the most requiring customers, but usually sold for full grain type of leather.

And at $ 1.25-1.30/ft CFR for a medium grade, stucco and buffed.

For upholstery crust leather, we can find prices from $ 1.15 up to 1.50/ft CFR, depending on selection, grain, region, substance, etc.

For shoes, in substance 1.2/1.4 mm, natural/not dyed, prices have been:

TR1 - $ 2.20/ft CFR

TR2 - $ 1.80

TR3 - $ 1.40-1.50

Everything below is considering the usual brine cured, no bulls. Range weight for salted is 14-19 kg and for fresh hides is -/24 kg.

Please note these are the average prices, so it might happen someone is paying more (for the higher end) or less (for the lower end) depending on the region.

Buenos Aires / Mendoza

Steers

$ 1.35

Cows

$ 1.00

Heifers

$ 1.24


>

Archivo Americano Latino Del Informe - 8/6/2010



Juan Henrique Izquierdo, Redactor

LA SEMANA EN REVISTA


“La semana de un vistazo”

Prices unchanged

Tanneries holding onto stocks to avoid higher replacement cost

Some spot demand at slightly higher prices

Brazilian leather exports ok


Details as follows:

De hecho nada cambio esta semana, y la prevision a corto plazo es de que nada va a cambiar hasta la vuelta de las vacaciones del hemisferio norte. La negociacion esta en abierto pero no dentro de un espectro tan abierto como lo fue previsto por algunos. Los limites son claros y diria que muy adentro de la zona de nuestros “Precios” mas abajo.

Las curtiembres estan sabiamente prefiriendo conservar sus stocks, o hasta teniendo que producir menos, si fuera el caso, en vez de regalar sus cueros a precios que ni le cubren el costo, o peor, que les traingan demasiado prejuicio.

Se sabe en nuestro sector, que en cualquier lado, el mercado trae ganancias y perdidas. Pero tambien se sabe que la ganancia tarde mas que la perdida, y tener que perder todo lo que se venia obteniendo dentro de un espiritu de recuparacion en los ultimos 5-6 meses, en un unico mes, no tendria mucha gracia.

Algunas curtiembres tienen ofertas spot de stocks de algunos tipos de cueros que no les ha sido tan demandado anteriormente durante el periodo mas “caliente” del mercado, pero tampoco los estan quemando, como algunos puedan llegar a pensar.

El mercado como un todo, muestra algunos pedidos spot a un precio livianamente mas bajo que el pico que el mismo apunto hace poco tiempo. Sinceramente, nadie siente que los clientes quieran dar continuidad a niveles de precio muchisimos mas bajos que antes.

A parte de eso, los pedidos mayores, los cuales siempre han tenido mejor precio, estan manteniendose en un promedio de precios si consideramos el periodo de todo el ano.

Hay vacaciones en este momento y no una falta de interes del mercado. Si despues de un mes de la vuelta de las vacaciones en el hemisferio norte la situacion sigue la misma, ahi si podriamos hablar de que el mercado se ha “ablandado” para abajo. No ahora. Seria apenas especulacion.

Segun fuentes oficiales en Brasil, la exportacion de cueros de todos los tipos en Julio, fue de de $ 143 millones, lo cual es aproximadamente 55% mayor que el mismo mes del ano anterior, pero tambien una reduccion de aproximadamente 13% menor que en el ultimo mes de junio.

Por otro lado, el total de exportaciones de enero a Julio este ano fue de $ 1.016 millones, contra solamente $ 584 millones durante el mismo periodo del ano pasado, representando un incremento de aproximadamente 73%.

El sector de cueros representa aproximadamente 0,7% del total de las exportaciones del pais en este momento.

FRESCOS Y SALADOS

Nada cambio sea en Brasil, Argentina o Uruguay.

Si bien debido a a la constante demanda (todos comprando cada uno un poco hacen una gran demanda en su conjunto), contra un mercado que teoricamente quiere pagar menores precios, la tendencia en cueros frescos es de presion por subida.

WET BLUE Y SEMI TERMINADO

Los precios abajo no han cambiado en estos dias, y no pareceria ser que lo hagan tan luego, por lo menos por algun tiempo hasta despues de las vacaciones del hemisferio norte.

PRECIOS

Precios actualizados en Brasil (Estos son los precios a niveles los cuales sabemos y tenemos conocimiento de negocios realmente realizados, a no ser cuando indicamos “precio pedido”).


Click on chart to view underlying data.

Para cueros enteros wet blue, pleno espesor, promedio de 48/52 p2, promedio 24 kg

Seleccion TR1 a $ 1,22-1,25/p2 CFR.

Seleccion TR2 a $ 1,08-1,12/p2 CFR

En lados, los precios son:

espesor 2.4/+ mm

seleccion B

$ 1.40

seleccion C

$ 1.20

seleccion D

$ 1.00

seleccion E

$ 0.90

El semi terminado para tapiceria, espesor 0.9/1.1 mm, tamano de 48 a 56 p2, a:

$ 1,22-1,25/p2 CFR para seleccion TR1

$ 1,12-1,15/p2 CFR para seleccion TR2

El cuero para tapiceria automotriz, en espesores de 1.1/1.3 a 1.2/1.4 mm, estucado y deflorado, a:

$ 1,30-1,35/p2 CFR para un TR1 (Precio pedido)

$ 1,20-1,25/p2 CFR para un TR2 (Precio pedido)

Precios actualizados en Argentina


Click on chart to view underlying data.

El cuero automotriz semi terminado, en espesores de 1.1/1.3 a 1.2/1.4 mm, se venden a niveles como:

$ 1,35-1,45/p2 CFR para material que tanto podra ser estucado y deflorado o flor entera.

Y a $ 1,25-1,30/p2 CFR para una seleccion intermedia, estucada y deflorada.

Para tapiceria semi terminada, podremos encontrar precios de $ 1,15 a $ 1,50, dependiendo de seleccion, flor, region, espesor, etc.

Para calzado, en espesor 1.2/1.4 mm, natural/sin tenir, los precios son:

TR1 - $ 2.20/ft CFR

TR2 - $ 1.80

TR3 - $ 1.40-1.50

Todo abajo es considerando salmorados, sin toros. Extremos de peso para salado 14-19 kg y frescos menor que 24 kg.

Favor notar que estos son precios promedios. Puede ser que se esta pagando mas (por cueros de regiones mejores) o menos (por lo opuesto).

Buenos Aires / Mendoza

Novillos

$ 1.35

Vacas

$ 1.00

Vaquillonas

$ 1.24