Latin American Report Archive - 2/12/2010



Juan Henrique Izquierdo, Editor

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

During this week South America in general, has not very active, as, apart from the carnival dates, also the Chinese New Year holiday has put a stop on most demands from that side.

But prices, in Brazil and Argentina, have been adjusted according to the new reality of the market for raw hides.

It’s difficult to tell what will come next, after the Tiger’s New Year holidays ends and also after some European countries come back from their carnival dates as well.

If the market will be accepting and going ahead with the new price idea, or if this is going to create a new situation?

RAW HIDES

Confirming our suspicious and the trend we were noticing, raw hides in Argentina suffered an adjustment according to its demand.

We have been noticing the higher demand but we did not have yet the list of raw hides prices.

The same thing is going on in Brazil this week. Raw hides are already more expensive.

Please see below the up dated prices for both.

WET BLUE & CRUST

Please see below the adjusted prices in each case. It’s not something that makes so much noise, but it’s going up all the time non-stop…

SOME FIGURES AND/OR SNAP SHOTS

In what regards trends and statistics, the last statistic research from Brazil, shows that the country is exporting less finished leather and more wet blue hides and even more crust leather.

In fact this should not be that too surprising. It’s the natural trend.

First of all, Brazil will never export all of it’s production in finished leather instead of crust or wet blue. It would be a dream if such a thing would happen, but due to the worldwide circumstances, it has almost no possibility to become true.

And second, the trend for the fore coming times, will be this.

That exports of crust will increase a lot but not that much on the finished leather.

It might happen even that one day Brazil doesn’t export anymore it’s raw hides nor the wet blue hides, and that most of it in crust, but most of it in finished for sure not.

There so many factors that leads us to this conclusion that this is something already expected. But also, due to internal circumstances that consider production capacities etc, Brazil cannot also think in not exporting any wet blue anymore (and also it will need to export some raw hides from time to time). It’s a need.

What would happen with splits, for instance? Is there capacity for tanning everything here and retanning? No. There isn’t even for the grains. Would it be competitive against Chinese tanning costs? No.

Are all Brazilian tanneries willing to sell the finished leather directly to the end user (shoe factories, furniture factories and car brands?

Of course yes. Is the market prepared for something like that, and will it allow such a thing to happen? Of course not.

There lots of different implications involved, rgr ubxkysw technical, political, convenient, time frames, quality issues and more.

It’s not a decision taken just like “from now on, we are only going to sell finished leather”.

If it was that easy, all tanneries would be already selling finished leather since long ago. It seems sometimes that some people forget this…

Some results about this are like that the consultant that comes with the great solution: “I think you have to reduce costs, improve production, sell more and spread your profit margin”.

Wow! Really?

PRICES

Prices in Brazil (Most of the prices below are the current prices that we know to be the ones being really used and at which there are business in the market.)


Click on chart to view underlying data.

Wet blue, whole hides, machine flayed, full substance, average 48/52 ft, average 24 kg

Selection TR1 at around $ 1.25/ft CFR and it’s said that even more in some cases as it was reported sales around the level of $ 1.30. The current asking price for TR1 is still above $ 1.30 now.

Selection TR2 at around $ 1.15/ft CFR.

In sides, we can say that prices are about these:

substance 2.4/+ mm

selection B

$ 1.30

selection C

$ 1.20

selection D

$ 1.00

selection E

$ 0.85

The crust leather for upholstery, in substance 0.9/1.1 mm, in sizes varying from 48 to 56 ft:

$ 1.20/ft CFR for selection TR1

$ 1.10/ft CFR for selection TR2

The automotive upholstery leather, in substances 1.1/1.3 to 1.2/1.4 mm, stucco and buffed, at:

$ 1.30/ft CFR for selection TR1

$ 1.20/ft CFR for selection TR2

Prices in Argentina


Click on chart to view underlying data.

The crust leather for automotive upholstery, in substance 1.1/1.3 to 1.2/1.4 mm, has been sold at levels like:

$ 1.35/ft CFR for material that can either be stucco and buffed for the most requiring customers, but usually sold for full grain type of leather.

And at $ 1.15-1.20/ft CFR for a medium grade, stucco and buffed.

For upholstery crust leather, we can find prices from $ 1.05 up to 1.40/ft CFR, depending on selection, grain, region, substance, etc.

For shoes, in substance 1.2/1.4 mm, natural/not dyed, prices have been:

TR1 - $ 2.10/ft CFR

TR2 - $ 1.70

TR3 - $ 1.30

Everything below is considering the usual brine cured, no bulls. Range weight for salted is 14-19 kg and for fresh hides is -/24 kg.

Please note these are the average prices, so it might happen someone is paying more (for the higher end) or less (for the lower end) depending on the region.

Buenos Aires / Mendoza

Steers

$ 1.05

Cows

$ 0.65

Heifers

$ 0.85


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